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CAR
4-2
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.24
OTT xG1.02
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
OTT Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve52.4%
OTT Deserve47.6%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.2%Possession48.8%
30Shots on Goal27
33.9%Faceoff Win %66.1%
33Hits37
24Blocked Shots14
6Takeaways2
11Giveaways19
22Penalty Minutes14
Live Feed
3P • 18:45Goal
S. Aho
Assists: S. Jarvis, J. Chatfield
backhand
3P • 18:11Goal
D. Cozens
Assists: D. Batherson, C. Yakemchuk
slap
3P • 17:38Goal
S. Aho
Assists: S. Jarvis, S. Walker
wrist
3P • 09:10Goal
L. Stankoven
Assists: K. Miller, T. Hall
snap
2P • 17:08Goal
D. Batherson
Assists: T. Stützle, C. Yakemchuk
tip-in
2P • 15:15Goal
T. Hall
Assists: M. Jankowski, E. Robinson
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | |
S. AhoC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 21:27 | |
L. StankovenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14:37 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:47 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10:03 | |
 A. SvechnikovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:15 | |
 N. DeslauriersL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 03:09 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:24 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 06:38 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:27 | |
T. HallL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:54 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:28 | |
 S. GostisbehereD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23:51 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21:16 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 05:16 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:40 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26:22 |