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PHI
3-2
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.83
PIT xG0.75
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%97.8
PIT Win%2.2
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve51.8%
PIT Deserve48.2%
PHI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.1%Possession40.9%
20Shots on Goal18
40.8%Faceoff Win %59.2%
40Hits41
9Blocked Shots18
5Takeaways3
11Giveaways15
8Penalty Minutes10



















