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PHI
3-0
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.52
PIT xG1.16
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%99.6
PIT Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve53.1%
PIT Deserve46.9%
PHI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.7%Possession51.3%
24Shots on Goal27
56.5%Faceoff Win %43.5%
48Hits32
8Blocked Shots25
3Takeaways4
19Giveaways13
30Penalty Minutes52

















