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PIT
2-5
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.92
PHI xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.0
PHI Win%100.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve47.3%
PHI Deserve52.7%
PHI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.3%Possession46.7%
29Shots on Goal29
41.8%Faceoff Win %58.2%
27Hits44
15Blocked Shots13
2Takeaways7
12Giveaways15
22Penalty Minutes28






















