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PHI
2-3
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.80
PIT xG0.87
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.0
PIT Win%100.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve50.9%
PIT Deserve49.1%
PHI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
20Shots on Goal21
53.3%Faceoff Win %46.7%
42Hits37
16Blocked Shots17
4Takeaways4
11Giveaways22
10Penalty Minutes8




















