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COL
4-2
LAK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG0.81
LAK xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
LAK Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve51.2%
LAK Deserve48.8%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.9%Possession49.1%
23Shots on Goal26
58.5%Faceoff Win %41.5%
24Hits32
16Blocked Shots17
4Takeaways3
13Giveaways12
10Penalty Minutes6



















