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COL
5-1
LAK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG0.71
LAK xG1.11
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
LAK Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve53.0%
LAK Deserve47.0%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
32Shots on Goal25
53.8%Faceoff Win %46.2%
21Hits50
18Blocked Shots19
4Takeaways6
15Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes26


















