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UTA
3-2
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
UTA xG0.84
VGK xG0.82
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
UTA Win%88.4
VGK Win%11.6
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
UTA Deserve51.1%
VGK Deserve48.9%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.5%Possession44.5%
30Shots on Goal21
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
39Hits33
15Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways5
17Giveaways15
14Penalty Minutes14



















