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VGK
2-4
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.11
UTA xG0.47
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%0.4
UTA Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve56.7%
UTA Deserve43.3%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
32Shots on Goal12
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
42Hits41
22Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways4
12Giveaways24
4Penalty Minutes10




















