Back
MTL
2-4
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.82
BUF xG0.92
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%11.3
BUF Win%88.7
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve49.5%
BUF Deserve50.5%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.6%Possession44.4%
28Shots on Goal16
62.7%Faceoff Win %37.3%
31Hits27
13Blocked Shots15
4Takeaways5
7Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes4
Live Feed
2P • 16:31Goal
K. Dach
Assists: Z. Bolduc
wrist
2P • 09:01Goal
B. Byram
Assists: R. McLeod
snap
2P • 03:32Goal
J. Greenway
Assists: M. Samuelsson
wrist
1P • 19:16Goal
N. Suzuki
Assists: J. Slafkovský, I. Demidov
snap
1P • 13:26Goal
R. McLeod
Assists: Z. Benson, J. Doan
snap
1P • 04:31Goal
J. Doan
Assists: Z. Benson
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. CaufieldR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19:08 | |
N. SuzukiC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21:02 | |
 A. NewhookC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16:52 | |
 J. AndersonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | |
 J. SlafkovskýL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19:41 | |
 P. DanaultC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15:20 | |
 J. EvansC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15:49 | |
 Z. BolducR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 08:53 | |
K. DachC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 09:46 | |
 A. TexierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:44 | |
 J. VelenoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 08:33 | |
 I. DemidovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18:19 | |
 M. MathesonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:00 | |
 K. GuhleD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | |
 A. CarrierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 | |
 L. HutsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 26:42 | |
 N. DobsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:09 | |
 A. XhekajD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 07:42 |