Back
MTL
5-1
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG1.04
BUF xG0.76
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve54.0%
BUF Deserve46.0%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.7%Possession46.3%
28Shots on Goal29
56.6%Faceoff Win %43.4%
18Hits44
12Blocked Shots20
7Takeaways4
11Giveaways13
22Penalty Minutes12
Live Feed
3P • 15:59Goal
N. Suzuki
Assists: J. Anderson
snap
3P • 03:54Goal
A. Carrier
Unassisted
snap
2P • 19:22Goal
Z. Benson
Assists: C. Timmins, J. Doan
tip-in
2P • 04:47Goal
A. Newhook
Assists: J. Evans, N. Dobson
snap
1P • 04:27Goal
M. Matheson
Assists: P. Danault
snap
1P • 01:36Goal
A. Newhook
Assists: K. Guhle, L. Hutson
tip-in
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. CaufieldR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:06 | |
N. SuzukiC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 20:03 | |
A. NewhookC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16:46 | |
 J. AndersonR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | |
 J. SlafkovskýL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17:56 | |
 P. DanaultC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:33 | |
 J. EvansC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:32 | |
 Z. BolducR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:02 | |
 K. DachC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | |
 A. TexierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 09:21 | |
 J. VelenoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:32 | |
 I. DemidovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | |
M. MathesonD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26:44 | |
 K. GuhleD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20:56 | |
A. CarrierD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:38 | |
 L. HutsonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:54 | |
 N. DobsonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 16:20 | |
 A. XhekajD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 09:32 |