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BUF
2-6
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.90
MTL xG1.11
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%0.0
MTL Win%100.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve42.8%
MTL Deserve57.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
28Shots on Goal37
37.7%Faceoff Win %62.3%
21Hits25
15Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways3
13Giveaways14
42Penalty Minutes38






















