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BUF
3-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.87
MTL xG1.26
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%72.7
MTL Win%27.3
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve45.1%
MTL Deserve54.9%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.1%Possession42.9%
22Shots on Goal31
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
23Hits26
6Blocked Shots30
6Takeaways2
14Giveaways15
16Penalty Minutes10



















