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MTL
0-0
BUF
Sched
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.00
BUF xG0.00
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%50.0
BUF Win%50.0
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve50.0%
BUF Deserve50.0%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
0Shots on Goal0
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
0Hits0
0Blocked Shots0
0Takeaways0
0Giveaways0
0Penalty Minutes0