Back
MTL
6-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG1.11
BUF xG1.11
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve50.8%
BUF Deserve49.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.4%Possession52.6%
26Shots on Goal36
55.9%Faceoff Win %44.1%
19Hits22
14Blocked Shots25
5Takeaways4
16Giveaways11
16Penalty Minutes16
Live Feed
3P • 03:32Goal
I. Demidov
Assists: J. Slafkovský, N. Suzuki
wrist
2P • 17:33Goal
N. Suzuki
Assists: J. Slafkovský, L. Hutson
snap
2P • 16:15Goal
J. Evans
Assists: I. Demidov, A. Newhook
poke
2P • 08:01Goal
J. Anderson
Assists: L. Hutson, P. Danault
snap
1P • 10:15Goal
K. Helenius
Assists: M. Samuelsson, R. Dahlin
wrist
1P • 07:54Goal
A. Texier
Assists: A. Carrier, P. Danault
deflected
1P • 07:45Goal
J. Doan
Assists: O. Power
slap
1P • 06:31Goal
C. Caufield
Assists: N. Suzuki, J. Slafkovský
snap
1P • 02:00Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: J. Quinn, C. Timmins
deflected
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. CaufieldR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16:48 | |
N. SuzukiC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:45 | |
 A. NewhookC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | |
J. AndersonR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:29 | |
 J. SlafkovskýL | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19:17 | |
 P. DanaultC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | |
J. EvansC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:50 | |
 Z. BolducR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 09:52 | |
 K. DachC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 09:05 | |
A. TexierL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12:27 | |
 J. VelenoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:56 | |
I. DemidovR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14:44 | |
 M. MathesonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26:18 | |
 K. GuhleD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20:38 | |
 A. CarrierD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23:27 | |
 L. HutsonD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:33 | |
 N. DobsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:20 | |
 A. XhekajD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 07:16 |