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BUF
8-3
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.99
MTL xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
MTL Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve55.9%
MTL Deserve44.1%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.6%Possession40.4%
36Shots on Goal22
60.7%Faceoff Win %39.3%
19Hits31
11Blocked Shots18
3Takeaways5
18Giveaways11
32Penalty Minutes58
Live Feed
3P • 17:49Goal
Z. Metsa
Assists: R. McLeod, R. Dahlin
snap
3P • 14:12Goal
T. Thompson
Unassisted
snap
3P • 09:58Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: T. Thompson, R. Dahlin
slap
2P • 12:59Goal
K. Helenius
Assists: J. Zucker, R. Dahlin
snap
2P • 10:54Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: R. Dahlin, T. Thompson
slap
2P • 01:00Goal
Z. Benson
Assists: T. Thompson, B. Byram
backhand
1P • 13:56Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: J. Norris, J. Quinn
snap
1P • 10:14Goal
J. Evans
Assists: M. Matheson
snap
1P • 08:12Goal
I. Demidov
Assists: L. Hutson, C. Caufield
slap
1P • 01:40Goal
A. Xhekaj
Assists: J. Evans
snap
1P • 00:32Goal
R. Dahlin
Assists: M. Samuelsson, Z. Benson
backhand
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. BensonL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 20:04 | |
 J. NorrisC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:27 | |
 J. GreenwayL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 08:15 | |
J. ZuckerL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:29 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 06:25 | |
J. QuinnR | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18:18 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 08:22 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:56 | |
T. ThompsonC | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18:14 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | |
 J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:31 | |
K. HeleniusC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:36 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19:53 | |
 C. TimminsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22:53 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:22 | |
R. DahlinD | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19:56 | |
Z. MetsaD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:19 |