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MTL
3-2
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG1.03
BUF xG1.46
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve47.2%
BUF Deserve52.8%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.7%Possession50.3%
25Shots on Goal39
46.4%Faceoff Win %53.6%
28Hits21
12Blocked Shots27
7Takeaways3
22Giveaways16
2Penalty Minutes2



















