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PHI
0-3
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.49
CAR xG0.57
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.4
CAR Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve49.2%
CAR Deserve50.8%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.8%Possession54.2%
19Shots on Goal23
55.6%Faceoff Win %44.4%
49Hits30
17Blocked Shots15
6Takeaways4
15Giveaways17
34Penalty Minutes34



















