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PHI
2-3
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG1.13
CAR xG1.34
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
8 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve46.3%
CAR Deserve53.7%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.4%Possession52.6%
36Shots on Goal42
39.7%Faceoff Win %60.3%
43Hits42
8Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways5
19Giveaways20
14Penalty Minutes16




















