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CAR
4-1
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.05
PHI xG0.57
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
PHI Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve60.2%
PHI Deserve39.8%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.7%Possession42.3%
31Shots on Goal19
49.0%Faceoff Win %51.0%
31Hits41
20Blocked Shots10
4Takeaways4
11Giveaways16
20Penalty Minutes38


















