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CAR
3-2
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.25
PHI xG0.62
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%100.0
PHI Win%0.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve57.6%
PHI Deserve42.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.7%Possession46.3%
40Shots on Goal17
51.4%Faceoff Win %48.6%
29Hits39
26Blocked Shots8
6Takeaways5
14Giveaways19
6Penalty Minutes6



















