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COL
1-5
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.09
MIN xG0.90
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%0.4
MIN Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve45.5%
MIN Deserve54.5%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.9%Possession48.1%
36Shots on Goal26
61.5%Faceoff Win %38.5%
25Hits39
17Blocked Shots9
3Takeaways7
16Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes8






















