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VGK
3-4
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.95
ANA xG0.60
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%2.2
ANA Win%97.8
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve46.3%
ANA Deserve53.7%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.4%Possession56.6%
21Shots on Goal23
52.9%Faceoff Win %47.1%
27Hits34
14Blocked Shots15
7Takeaways5
14Giveaways10
8Penalty Minutes6





















