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VGK
5-1
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.90
ANA xG1.13
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%99.6
ANA Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve52.8%
ANA Deserve47.2%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
42.5%Possession57.5%
21Shots on Goal32
53.1%Faceoff Win %46.9%
24Hits30
13Blocked Shots14
4Takeaways5
17Giveaways20
12Penalty Minutes6


















