Back

MTL
2-3
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.53
CAR xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve44.6%
CAR Deserve55.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
36.8%Possession63.2%
12Shots on Goal26
52.4%Faceoff Win %47.6%
16Hits46
20Blocked Shots21
4Takeaways7
16Giveaways20
6Penalty Minutes4



















