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CAR
3-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.71
MTL xG0.69
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%100.0
MTL Win%0.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve59.8%
MTL Deserve40.2%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.3%Possession45.7%
39Shots on Goal13
52.2%Faceoff Win %47.8%
37Hits31
35Blocked Shots18
13Takeaways3
18Giveaways21
6Penalty Minutes8



















