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CAR
4-0
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.53
MTL xG0.52
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
MTL Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve62.0%
MTL Deserve38.0%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
65.7%Possession34.3%
44Shots on Goal18
46.3%Faceoff Win %53.7%
30Hits30
24Blocked Shots21
7Takeaways3
15Giveaways18
24Penalty Minutes32

















