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VGK
4-2
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.67
COL xG1.59
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%99.6
COL Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve45.6%
COL Deserve54.4%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.5%Possession51.5%
28Shots on Goal38
56.9%Faceoff Win %43.1%
34Hits31
12Blocked Shots24
7Takeaways4
24Giveaways9
6Penalty Minutes4



















