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COL
3-5
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.04
VGK xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%0.4
VGK Win%99.6
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve47.7%
VGK Deserve52.3%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
35Shots on Goal23
44.6%Faceoff Win %55.4%
17Hits34
24Blocked Shots11
3Takeaways4
19Giveaways18
18Penalty Minutes10






















