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COL
1-2
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG0.58
VGK xG1.17
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%3.5
VGK Win%96.5
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve44.8%
VGK Deserve55.2%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.6%Possession58.4%
21Shots on Goal26
45.3%Faceoff Win %54.7%
30Hits29
15Blocked Shots13
2Takeaways3
16Giveaways15
4Penalty Minutes2



















