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VGK
5-4
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.95
CAR xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%94.1
CAR Win%5.9
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve51.0%
CAR Deserve49.0%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.2%Possession51.8%
23Shots on Goal29
50.8%Faceoff Win %49.2%
35Hits26
13Blocked Shots17
3Takeaways7
18Giveaways16
4Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 16:36Goal
T. Hertl
Assists: C. Sissons, S. Theodore
snap
3P • 11:19Goal
S. Gostisbehere
Unassisted
snap
3P • 01:21Goal
B. Howden
Assists: S. Theodore, B. McNabb
tip-in
2P • 12:42Goal
J. Staal
Assists: K. Miller
snap
2P • 04:35Goal
W. Karlsson
Assists: M. Marner, B. Howden
snap
2P • 00:30Goal
I. Barbashev
Assists: J. Eichel, B. McNabb
snap
1P • 13:28Goal
S. Theodore
Assists: B. McNabb, C. Smith
slap
1P • 12:08Goal
N. Ehlers
Assists: J. Chatfield
backhand
1P • 00:25Goal
N. Ehlers
Assists: J. Slavin, J. Chatfield
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. EichelC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:33 | |
 C. SissonsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14:01 | |
 P. DorofeyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:19 | |
B. HowdenC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:51 | |
 C. SmithR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11:11 | |
 N. DowdC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | |
T. HertlC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:10 | |
I. BarbashevL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16:49 | |
 K. KolesarR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 06:43 | |
 M. StoneR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 | |
W. KarlssonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:05 | |
 M. MarnerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:54 | |
 B. McNabbD | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 | |
 R. AnderssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23:18 | |
 J. LauzonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:32 | |
 N. HanifinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 | |
S. TheodoreD | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23:00 | |
 D. CoghlanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 08:23 |