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VGK
3-4
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.61
CAR xG1.27
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve44.5%
CAR Deserve55.5%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.4%Possession51.6%
26Shots on Goal26
43.5%Faceoff Win %56.5%
25Hits46
12Blocked Shots27
4Takeaways4
12Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes8





















