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CAR
4-5
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.36
VGK xG1.06
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%0.0
VGK Win%100.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve48.4%
VGK Deserve51.6%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.8%Possession55.2%
33Shots on Goal35
59.3%Faceoff Win %40.7%
42Hits66
32Blocked Shots16
3Takeaways11
30Giveaways25
4Penalty Minutes4




















