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CAR
5-3
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.69
VGK xG0.90
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
VGK Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve55.1%
VGK Deserve44.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.8%Possession46.2%
28Shots on Goal21
56.9%Faceoff Win %43.1%
34Hits38
12Blocked Shots16
7Takeaways3
15Giveaways23
8Penalty Minutes8
Live Feed
3P • 19:05Goal
N. Ehlers
Unassisted
wrist
3P • 06:32Goal
J. Staal
Assists: N. Ehlers
backhand
2P • 17:08Goal
B. Howden
Assists: C. Sissons, W. Karlsson
wrist
2P • 04:22Goal
W. Karlsson
Assists: R. Andersson, M. Marner
snap
1P • 12:48Goal
J. Staal
Assists: S. Gostisbehere, S. Aho
wrist
1P • 07:22Goal
M. Stone
Assists: S. Theodore, B. McNabb
wrist
1P • 03:28Goal
J. Blake
Assists: T. Hall, N. Ehlers
wrist
1P • 01:06Goal
L. Stankoven
Assists: J. Chatfield, J. Blake
backhand
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. StaalC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16:34 | |
 S. AhoC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18:14 | |
L. StankovenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16:54 | |
 S. JarvisR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18:30 | |
N. EhlersL | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19:09 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 08:23 | |
 A. SvechnikovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:48 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | |
J. BlakeR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:33 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:38 | |
 S. GostisbehereD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:02 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22:51 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22:45 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:13 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22:17 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24:41 |