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CAR
3-0
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.68
VGK xG1.00
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
VGK Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve56.5%
VGK Deserve43.5%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.1%Possession47.9%
23Shots on Goal22
52.4%Faceoff Win %47.6%
32Hits39
8Blocked Shots13
10Takeaways2
16Giveaways19
6Penalty Minutes6

















